Checking Causality

Checking Causality 

Instructions: Carefully read the following scenario and prediction, and use the criteria for causality discussed in class to determine if the prediction is causal.

Scenario: A cosmetic company introduces a new advertising campaign on social media, expecting it to lead to increased online sales.

Prediction: The new social media advertising campaign will result in a boost in online sales.

Data Collection: The company collected the following data to test the prediction above, and found that in January, when there was no advertising campaign, online sales were $250,000. In February, after the campaign was launched, online sales increased to $500,000. Also, the company had another special promotion in February during Valentine’s Day.

MonthAdvertising Campaign Online Sales JanNo advertising$250,000FebNew campaign launched$500,000

• Task: Based solely on the provided description (do not refer to your own assumptions, observations, or experiences), determine if causality exists in the prediction. Ensure you thoroughly discuss each criterion and provide a well-reasoned conclusion based on the data and the three steps for causality discussed in class.